Calibration testing · Elite sport

Know how good your decisions really are.

We measure the quality of your team's decisions — turning gut feel into a calibrated score you can track and improve.

Decision quality, quantified — not guessed
Reliability diagram well-calibrated
perfect calibration forecast probability → observed frequency → 0 1
your forecasts perfect calibration
Used by performance teams competing in
NFLNBAMLS United Rugby ChampionshipUEFA Champions League National Soccer Teams
What's inside

One platform for sharper decision-making.

Calibration is the core — scoring how good your team's judgement really is, broken into the parts a single accuracy figure would hide. Alongside it, scenario-based debiasing trains the weak spots. Built as a platform, not a single test, it grows as your decision-making does.

Calibration

Does 70% mean 70%?

When your team is 70% sure, are they right about 70% of the time? Confidence honesty.

Core metric
Brier score

The single number

One overall measure of how good the judgements were — lower is better. The headline behind the breakdown.

Headline score
Resolution

Telling them apart

Do you give clearly different confidence to decisions that turn out true versus false — or hedge everything near the middle? Resolution scores that sorting power.

Core metric
Accuracy

Plain hit rate

How often the decision was simply right — the familiar number, kept in context alongside the rest.

Against the answer key
Debiasing

Name the bias

Decision scenarios with deliberately limited information, built so the biases in your team's judgement surface as numbers — not hunches.

Quantified, not guessed
Through your assessment

Tracked over time

Every score is stored, so individuals and teams can watch calibration improve session by session.

Per-user & team views
How it works

From hunch to scored decision in three steps.

01 — Assess

Make the decision

Work through sport-specific decision scenarios, giving a confidence level from 50% to 100% on each. A number every time.

02 — Score

See the breakdown

Each answer is decomposed into your calibration, resolution and accuracy — showing where confidence and correctness pull apart.

03 — Debias

Train the gap

See which cognitive biases are shaping your decisions, work scenario-based exercises to counter them, and track the trend across your squad.

The method

We quantify decision quality. We don't guess.

Every score comes from established, peer-reviewed forecasting methods — the kind used to tell strong judgement from weak. Each metric is defined, transparent and reproducible: the same answers give the same numbers, every time. No black box, no hand-waving.

PROPER SCORINGDecisions are graded by rules that reward honest probabilities, not lucky guesses.
DECOMPOSEDOne score is split into its parts, so strengths and weaknesses show up separately.
REPRODUCIBLETransparent, documented metrics — nothing you can't interrogate or audit.
Get started

See where your team's judgement actually stands.

Run a calibration test with your performance staff, or get in touch for a walkthrough of the methodology and dashboards.

Scroll to Top